Much of my handicapping includes paying close attention to some game situations, trends and angles. Baseball has more prominent situations in angles and trends than any other sport...
Some of the trends and situations and betting techniques I follow are;
Streaks..Betting on or against teams on 3 game winning or losing streaks would have you at +6.06 units so far this season. Betting against teams on losing streaks and with teams on winning streaks has been a very profitable situation over the years. Of course you must be careful of a conflicting trend before just jumping on the bet.
Home Sweeps: This angle is extremely profitable so far this season. A team who is in their last game of a series against an opponent who has won the first 2 or 3 games in the series, are currently 16-5 with a +13.05 unit return...You usually get better than normal odds on the home team that is on a losing streak. This has always been a profitable angle year after year.
Big Favorite Parlays: I never lay more than 1.50 on any straight bet, but I have found that by taking the teams on the schedule that are -1.50 or more and listing them from highest to lowest and grouping them into 2 or 3 team parlays is a consistent winning proposition. For example if you have 5 teams on the schedule with -1.50 or bigger lines, you would take the 3 biggest lines and group them into a 3 team parlay and then the following 2 into a 2 team parlay. If you had say 6 teams that fall into that category, you would then play two 3 team parlays...Never play more than a 3 team parlay. So far this season you would be up about 5 units.
Home Team Runlines & Dog Runlines: I will very rarely play on home team on the runline. Home teams have one less at bat if they are going into the 9th inning with a lead. So if they are leading by one run going into the ninth, you are an automatic loser. I will play road teams on the runline.."only if they are favored". I will never play a road dog on the run line getting +1.5 runs. If I like a road dog well enough I will play them straight and take the plus moneyline. It just doesn't make any sense to me to lay the moneyline which is normally always a minus, on a team that is obviously not the best of the two teams. Getting +1.5 runs and getting plus money also, is rare but I will always consider that play.
There are many more angles and trends in baseball, but these are the ones I look to before any other...
Have a great day. Check out our current selections package specals at TonyDiamond.com
Tony
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