If you have done your homework during the off season, you definetely should have and edge against the lines makers in the early part of the baseball season. Adjusting team power rankings based on the offseason transactions and free agency moves will give a big advantage when handicapping the first month of baseball...
Spring training stats will also give a good indication of which players are in good form and those that are slow getting out of the box. This expecially holds true with pitchers. Pitchers who have recorded good spring training performances will invariably carry the performance over to their first 3 or 4 starts. There are some pitchers who traditionally get off to fast or slow starts...You can check past performances for the first 4 starts for each pitcher of each year and you will see that for the most part, they will follow true to form.
Early season handicapping totals is very tricky as you have many games being played in inclement weather with cold and windy situations. Checking weather reports, especially the wind MPH and the direction will give a big edge as to whether you play or don't play a total.
Baseball is a game that stats will hold true year to year. A player with a batting average of say 320 over 5 seasons, can be counted on to be around that number again in his sixth season...the only exception is when a home run hitter has changed teams and is playing in a different ballpark that is configured differently. The same with pitchers changing ball parks. There are some ball parks that are "hitters" parks and some are classified as "pitchers" parks. When a pitcher switches teams it is best to analyze the differences in the ball park he coming from to the one he is now pitching in.
Most handicappers will hold off putting out too many selections in the first month of the season, personally I like the first part of the season because I truly feel we have a big edge....
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