Much of my handicapping includes paying close attention to some game situations, trends and angles. Baseball has more prominent situations in angles and trends than any other sport...
Some of the trends and situations and betting techniques I follow are;
Streaks..Betting on or against teams on 3 game winning or losing streaks would have you at +6.06 units so far this season. Betting against teams on losing streaks and with teams on winning streaks has been a very profitable situation over the years. Of course you must be careful of a conflicting trend before just jumping on the bet.
Home Sweeps: This angle is extremely profitable so far this season. A team who is in their last game of a series against an opponent who has won the first 2 or 3 games in the series, are currently 16-5 with a +13.05 unit return...You usually get better than normal odds on the home team that is on a losing streak. This has always been a profitable angle year after year.
Big Favorite Parlays: I never lay more than 1.50 on any straight bet, but I have found that by taking the teams on the schedule that are -1.50 or more and listing them from highest to lowest and grouping them into 2 or 3 team parlays is a consistent winning proposition. For example if you have 5 teams on the schedule with -1.50 or bigger lines, you would take the 3 biggest lines and group them into a 3 team parlay and then the following 2 into a 2 team parlay. If you had say 6 teams that fall into that category, you would then play two 3 team parlays...Never play more than a 3 team parlay. So far this season you would be up about 5 units.
Home Team Runlines & Dog Runlines: I will very rarely play on home team on the runline. Home teams have one less at bat if they are going into the 9th inning with a lead. So if they are leading by one run going into the ninth, you are an automatic loser. I will play road teams on the runline.."only if they are favored". I will never play a road dog on the run line getting +1.5 runs. If I like a road dog well enough I will play them straight and take the plus moneyline. It just doesn't make any sense to me to lay the moneyline which is normally always a minus, on a team that is obviously not the best of the two teams. Getting +1.5 runs and getting plus money also, is rare but I will always consider that play.
There are many more angles and trends in baseball, but these are the ones I look to before any other...
Have a great day. Check out our current selections package specals at TonyDiamond.com
Tony
Monday, April 27, 2009
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Who Wins The NBA Title...?
Who will win the NBA may be a difficult question seeing as, unless something really weird happens, it will be the Lakers and Cleveland in the final...Now picking a winner in that one if indeed it comes down to that is not going to be all that easy....What happens in between can be very interesting and challenging.
I am looking at a possible 1st round series upset with Dallas taking down the Spurs...As for the possibilities of someone upsetting the Lakers or Cleveland, I would say the closest being Orlando as a dark horse, (that was one of my future plays) and Portland being the other dark horse possible upset winner.
MY other future play was on Houston. I actually picked Cleveland in the East and the Lakers in the West to play for the title, and I picked Cleveland to win it all. I didn't play futures on them because of the short odd and I don't like tying up money for that long a period of time with such a small potential return. Picking Cleveland and the Lakers surely didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out so it's not like I would doing much bragging on those picks.
I believe Boston may not get by Chicago but if they do that may be the end of the line for them. They have played badly the last two weeks and of course have 24 games without Garnett and he is listed as doubtful to play in the playoffs. Detroit has no chance...Like I mentioned I think Dallas has a good shot at moving on as will Portland.
Utah may be a good bet in this series with the points, Orlando gets by Philadelphia with no trouble and Denver gets by N. Orleans....The Miami / Atlanta series will be very competitive, this one could go either way....
But in the end after all is said and done...Cleveland will rule...!!!
For More NBA Info...go to TonyDiamond.com
I am looking at a possible 1st round series upset with Dallas taking down the Spurs...As for the possibilities of someone upsetting the Lakers or Cleveland, I would say the closest being Orlando as a dark horse, (that was one of my future plays) and Portland being the other dark horse possible upset winner.
MY other future play was on Houston. I actually picked Cleveland in the East and the Lakers in the West to play for the title, and I picked Cleveland to win it all. I didn't play futures on them because of the short odd and I don't like tying up money for that long a period of time with such a small potential return. Picking Cleveland and the Lakers surely didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out so it's not like I would doing much bragging on those picks.
I believe Boston may not get by Chicago but if they do that may be the end of the line for them. They have played badly the last two weeks and of course have 24 games without Garnett and he is listed as doubtful to play in the playoffs. Detroit has no chance...Like I mentioned I think Dallas has a good shot at moving on as will Portland.
Utah may be a good bet in this series with the points, Orlando gets by Philadelphia with no trouble and Denver gets by N. Orleans....The Miami / Atlanta series will be very competitive, this one could go either way....
But in the end after all is said and done...Cleveland will rule...!!!
For More NBA Info...go to TonyDiamond.com
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Sunday Free TV Play
Our member selections went 6-1 yesterday with a nice underdog catch with Pittsburgh at +125 and a runline winner with San Diego at +145... We went 3-0 in the NBA again and our baseball was 3-1. We realized a nice +5.55 unit profit...
We have a free play today on the ESPN TV game...you can get that play at TonyDiamond.com
Good Luck
We have a free play today on the ESPN TV game...you can get that play at TonyDiamond.com
Good Luck
Tuesday, April 7, 2009
Betting Baseball: Early Season
If you have done your homework during the off season, you definetely should have and edge against the lines makers in the early part of the baseball season. Adjusting team power rankings based on the offseason transactions and free agency moves will give a big advantage when handicapping the first month of baseball...
Spring training stats will also give a good indication of which players are in good form and those that are slow getting out of the box. This expecially holds true with pitchers. Pitchers who have recorded good spring training performances will invariably carry the performance over to their first 3 or 4 starts. There are some pitchers who traditionally get off to fast or slow starts...You can check past performances for the first 4 starts for each pitcher of each year and you will see that for the most part, they will follow true to form.
Early season handicapping totals is very tricky as you have many games being played in inclement weather with cold and windy situations. Checking weather reports, especially the wind MPH and the direction will give a big edge as to whether you play or don't play a total.
Baseball is a game that stats will hold true year to year. A player with a batting average of say 320 over 5 seasons, can be counted on to be around that number again in his sixth season...the only exception is when a home run hitter has changed teams and is playing in a different ballpark that is configured differently. The same with pitchers changing ball parks. There are some ball parks that are "hitters" parks and some are classified as "pitchers" parks. When a pitcher switches teams it is best to analyze the differences in the ball park he coming from to the one he is now pitching in.
Most handicappers will hold off putting out too many selections in the first month of the season, personally I like the first part of the season because I truly feel we have a big edge....
Check out our guaranteed play of the day and our April Baseball Membership Special...If you like making money, check us out.... TonyDiamond.com
Spring training stats will also give a good indication of which players are in good form and those that are slow getting out of the box. This expecially holds true with pitchers. Pitchers who have recorded good spring training performances will invariably carry the performance over to their first 3 or 4 starts. There are some pitchers who traditionally get off to fast or slow starts...You can check past performances for the first 4 starts for each pitcher of each year and you will see that for the most part, they will follow true to form.
Early season handicapping totals is very tricky as you have many games being played in inclement weather with cold and windy situations. Checking weather reports, especially the wind MPH and the direction will give a big edge as to whether you play or don't play a total.
Baseball is a game that stats will hold true year to year. A player with a batting average of say 320 over 5 seasons, can be counted on to be around that number again in his sixth season...the only exception is when a home run hitter has changed teams and is playing in a different ballpark that is configured differently. The same with pitchers changing ball parks. There are some ball parks that are "hitters" parks and some are classified as "pitchers" parks. When a pitcher switches teams it is best to analyze the differences in the ball park he coming from to the one he is now pitching in.
Most handicappers will hold off putting out too many selections in the first month of the season, personally I like the first part of the season because I truly feel we have a big edge....
Check out our guaranteed play of the day and our April Baseball Membership Special...If you like making money, check us out.... TonyDiamond.com
Saturday, April 4, 2009
It's Finally Here..Baseball..Big Profits
For those who have been following my service for the past 17 years, you know that for the most part I am pretty modest about my accomplishments. Oh sure I like to brag a little when I am on a nice winning streak, but that’s part of the business, on the other hand, I never hesitate to publish when I am on a downer.
There is one time of the season that I will always spout off, and that is “baseball”…Baseball is one sport where I feel that I am as good as anyone in the business. Handicapping baseball is very tedious and time consuming, it takes a lot of statistical data entry on a daily basis to be a consistent winner, and for that reason, many sport bettors shy away from getting involved. Many sport bettors don’t play baseball because “they don’t like watching it”. If your bottom line is making money, then you should not be concerned about having to watch it unless your just an “action” player and not a serious sport bettor.
My service’s goal every season is to get my members to 200+ units. Our season runs from Sept 1st to the end of August. Currently we are hovering around +80 units. With baseball starting in just a few days, I am optimistic that we will reach that goal by the end of August. That means that our dime playing members would be up around $200,000.00 and our members playing $100.00 would be up $20,000.00 for the same time period.
Many handicappers wait until the first month is over to start releasing plays, we find a huge edge in the early part of the season as we do our homework on baseball starting way before spring training. If you would like to check us out for the first month of baseball, I offer you a very nice special…Sign up for one week of our service and I will give you the remainder of the month for free. ……
tonydiamond.com
There is one time of the season that I will always spout off, and that is “baseball”…Baseball is one sport where I feel that I am as good as anyone in the business. Handicapping baseball is very tedious and time consuming, it takes a lot of statistical data entry on a daily basis to be a consistent winner, and for that reason, many sport bettors shy away from getting involved. Many sport bettors don’t play baseball because “they don’t like watching it”. If your bottom line is making money, then you should not be concerned about having to watch it unless your just an “action” player and not a serious sport bettor.
My service’s goal every season is to get my members to 200+ units. Our season runs from Sept 1st to the end of August. Currently we are hovering around +80 units. With baseball starting in just a few days, I am optimistic that we will reach that goal by the end of August. That means that our dime playing members would be up around $200,000.00 and our members playing $100.00 would be up $20,000.00 for the same time period.
Many handicappers wait until the first month is over to start releasing plays, we find a huge edge in the early part of the season as we do our homework on baseball starting way before spring training. If you would like to check us out for the first month of baseball, I offer you a very nice special…Sign up for one week of our service and I will give you the remainder of the month for free. ……
tonydiamond.com
Friday, April 3, 2009
Guaranteed Friday and Free Play
Today is one of our guaranteed winner days. We have 3 solid plays in the NBA today. Sign in for the daily package at Tonydiamond.com and if we don't go at least 2-1, your member fee will be refunded...
Get Friday's Free play at: Friday's Free Play
Get Friday's Free play at: Friday's Free Play
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